Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts

Friday, October 31, 2008

Where the Economy Is


According to data released yesterday, consumer spending began declining before the current economic crisis truly began. It's reasonable to assume that the decline continued or even accelerated through October. Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman writes about it this morning.

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Theology and Economic Failure


Quote of the day:
“I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organizations, specifically banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms.”
--Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the Federal Reserve

This is a more-revealing statement than first appears. Greenspan has an eminently reasonable and thoughtful response to the financial crisis and what caused it. There are those who say it's all his fault, because, as always, we need to have someone or something to blame for our problems, especially the serious ones. And he certainly bears significant responsibility.

But there is something much bigger at work, and David Brooks describes it here.

Economic matters are always talked about as a set of rational processes with clear explanations. We attempt to make judgments based on our understanding of these processes. But not really, as it turns out.

We actually make decisions based on our perceptions, which are quite tricky. It is this way in religion, too. We think we are religious or not religious based on rational, thoughtful analysis of some kind. We don't realize that we begin with perceptions involving complex, underlying, unconscious assumptions. What we see we see through these filters.

From a theological standpoint, a key underlying assumption is either "I can trust people" or "I can't trust people." None of us are aware of how our perceptions are shaped unless we examine ourselves honestly.

Alan Greenspan's assumption was "I can trust people"--that is, people and institutions would work efficiently in attempting to make money for themselves and their shareholders.

Saturday, October 18, 2008

Joe The Plumber is Not a Victim

"We may be fascinated by Wall Street, and bogus yarns like Joe the Plumber’s. But the real story in this country right now is the increasingly dire plight of those heading toward the bottom of that ladder...."

--Bob Herbert, in yesterday's New York Times

Thursday, October 9, 2008

Should I Move Everything to Cash?

Excellent piece yesterday in the NY Times considering the temptation that all of us feel to simply sell all investments and put the money in  a mattress or something.  It might feel good, but it's probably a bad idea.  Read it here.

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

News Mantra of the Day

"Is it going to be enough?"  Referring to the "700 billion dollar bailout."  I have heard this approximately 438 times in the last 48 hours, and I haven't even had the news on that much.


I know the answer, and I think we all do.  The answer is "we don't know."  Nobody knows.  But we keep asking the question, expecting a definite answer.

Right now, books are being written comparing this economic crisis to 1929.  And there are striking similarities.